钢质油罐底板腐蚀概率估计

针对钢质油罐底板腐蚀,首先分析了油罐底板腐蚀工程检测数据的特点和腐蚀试验数据统计分析理论;然后针对工程检测信息不完全的特性,以最大腐蚀深度的预测估计为目标,建立了以轻微腐蚀面积估计来实现腐蚀概率修正估计的模型;最后利用广州等地27个罐约900条检测数据估计了油罐底板的最大腐蚀深度。其最大相对误差小于45%,约80%的相对误差优于30%。     

潜艇运动对被动声纳浮标搜索的影响

由于被动声纳浮标隐蔽持续探测,潜艇可能由于机动进入浮标探测范围,从而增加了被探测概率。首先,在分析已有模型局限性的基础上,从潜艇运动对浮标搜索影响的原理出发,建立单枚浮标新增搜索区域模型,分析了单枚浮标搜索概率的影响因素,然后建模分析了潜艇运动对浮标拦截线搜索概率的影响因素,得出了影响作用仅对浮标作用距离、间距和航向敏感的结论,并对作战使用方法提出相关建议。     

科学制定发展规划 彰显地方高校职能

地方高校制定发展规划是适应国内外高等教育发展的客观需求，是区域经济社会发展的必要需求，是高校自身发展的迫切需求。地方高校要履行高校职能，更好地为地方经济社会发展服务就必须科学制定规划，特别是要战略规划学校的办学定位、特色和目标。同时，规划的实施要强调监控并要与高校职能协调统一。     

铝合金表面涂覆隐身吸波涂层脱落原因分析

通过对某装备车体外脱落隐身吸波涂层样品的表面形貌、截面形貌、元素组成及含量分析,发现吸波涂层和Al2O3钝化层之间没有化学结合键,只存在物理吸附和机械结合,在外部环境的作用下,很容易引起隐身吸波涂层的脱落。     

A general approach to the shape of failure rate and MRL functions

Failure rate and mean residual life are two important characteristics for studying reliability of products. In literature, some work studied the shape of failure rate function based on the knowledge of the associated probability density function; some other work investigated the shape of mean residual life function based on the shape of the associated failure rate function separately for continuous case and discrete case. In this article, a general approach is developed which can be applied to the aforementioned studies. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

Bivariate models from univariate life distributions: A characterization cum modeling approach

Bivariate life distribution models are of importance for studying interdependent components. We present a generic approach by introducing a new concept of characterized model in stead of a characterized distribution. It strikes a balance between characterization and modeling approaches to eliminate their individual limitations and incorporate their respective strengths. The proposed model, being a characterized one, admits many important properties irrespective of the choice of marginal distributions. The retention of univariate IFR, DFR, IFRA, DFRA, NBU, and NWU class properties in the bivariate setup has been ensured along with some results on series combinations and convolution. No other models, available in the literature, can ensure simultaneous retention of these fundamental and extremely important class properties. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

Warranty costs: An age‐dependent failure/repair model

An age‐dependent repair model is proposed. The notion of the “calendar age” of the product and the degree of repair are used to define the virtual age of the product. The virtual failure rate function and the virtual hazard function related to the lifetime of the product are discussed. Under a nonhomogeneous Poisson process scenario the expected warranty costs for repairable products associated with linear pro‐rata, nonrenewing free replacement and renewing free replacement warranties are evaluated. Illustration of the results is given by numerical and graphical examples. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

Limiting survival functions of self‐similar structures

We show the existence of a unique analytic single parameter limiting survival function arising from the repeated composition of a coherent structure as the number of components tends to infinity. Examples include the repeated composition process of the bridge structure. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

AHP法在舰空导弹作战通道分析中的应用

层次分析法(AHP)是一种简便、灵活而又实用的多准则决策的系统分析方法。运用该分析方法对舰空导弹武器各作战通道的性能进行综合分析,其中在对决策矩阵进行计算时,使用了三种不同的效用函数对方案层的各项指标进行了量化,最后得出了各作战通道的综合价值,此值可为指挥员决策提供参考。计算结果表明该方法用于作战通道评价是切实可行的。     

简析汉匈争夺西域之战与两汉时期中央政府西进策略

两汉与匈奴的和战维持了四百多年,持续如此之久的战争和复杂多变的关系在中国历代民族关系史中是绝无仅有的,本文从战争的角度分析战争的原因、特点及双方得失,着重探讨两汉中央政府西进策略的得失。